(7f) Debt laden companies and dangers to the global economy
I've mentioned it
before: interest rates should not be too low. Indeed, people who save should
earn something that they can use to spend in the economy.
Similarly and as
mentioned in this
article, borrowing should not be too cheap and thus easy to avoid that more
risks are taken by borrowing too much as that can destabilise the economy.
Indeed, companies need to sell and according this they can invest more although
that doesn't mean they can never borrow to expand, but only when needed and not
only because interests are low so companies expand too quickly and not
according the need.
And thus, as
companies seem to borrow too much while customers have almost no return on
savings so they spend less (although many businesspeople and economists think
this is good for the economy as they think it will force people into buying
shares that at this moment still give larger returns than saving accounts),
predictions are that companies may feel it very severely when a new, even
moderate crisis may hit. An example seems to be Thomas
Cook that seemed to have taken too much risks, i.e. too much borrowing to
grow too fast while in the end debts need to be repaid, even when the economy
is less strong or even declines. Indeed, it is easy for managers to loan money
to expand what is not their company to show the company grows.
But, because
interests are too low on saving accounts and in case companies and people want
to buy something more expensive, they either have to sell shares or borrow so
debts of society, companies and individuals, even further increase while too
much credit and debts (including mortgage debts) were the engine
of the global financial crisis in 2007-2008 whereby people sold houses and
shares in order to repay debts so the house and stock markets fell.
Indeed, not only
companies have too much debts when they borrow too much money, the same applies
to individuals whereby mortgage companies continue to stimulate people to
borrow more as interests are very low. The result: house prices continue to
rise as people can borrow more with lower interests to repay so in the end they
repay the same or even more than previous generations while many, and certainly
the generation that becomes adult, earn too little compared with house prices
so they have to borrow more or together with others while later they must repay
over a very long time; in addition, these people need to earn a lot to repay
their debts while companies are starting to complain wages become too high that
can result in less profits for the companies and even bankruptcy. Thus, many
companies and people have excessive debts they need to repay with wages that
increase slower or even decrease and thus more difficult to repay any debts.
Indeed, everything is connected and correct itself in one or the other
direction. It also shows that regulation is needed to prevent excesses.
Therefore, in a
healthy economy, people have an acceptable minimal return on savings because
they allow banks to use this money to make profits. Thus, a further lowering of
interest rates on savings as some economists think should happen only proofs
how bad our economy is whereby bad and counter-rational and counter-intuitive
decisions are considered to be good for the economy while in fact it only
creates more debts and accumulates
money in central banks who than think negative interests may stimulate spending
(and thus result in even more debts because people lose money without even
spending money at a time when the economy becomes cash free so storing money at
home to avoid paying interests on your own money is no longer an option. Thus,
I think a minimum interest on saving accounts such as 2% should be law as it is
not normal that people provide money to banks that these banks can invest such
as providing mortgages with interests to borrowers and thus earn money from
other people's money while those who save and thus lend money to banks receive
little to nothing in return and even pay more because bank accounts costs money
to pay banks for services they provide.
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